English waiting times growth trebles
Since the incomplete pathways target was first met in 2012, English waiting times have been creeping up at about half a week per year. Now they're growing three times faster.
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Since the incomplete pathways target was first met in 2012, English waiting times have been creeping up at about half a week per year. Now they're growing three times faster.
Managing the 18 week waiting times target directly? That risks a loss of control if the waiting list gets too big and the target becomes unsustainable.
Expect 20 week RTT waits and 4 million patients on the waiting list in 2017, rising to 21 week waits in 2018, and so on indefinitely until the NHS in England starts keeping up with demand.
We've run the published RTT data through Gooroo Planner, and produced detailed trajectories for trusts and specialties right across England for the next two years. Here they all are. You're welcome.
Elective waits passed the 19 week mark, all surgical specialties are now breaching, and only 69 per cent of local specialties are within target. As the waiting list grows this is only going to get worse.
Are Board performance reports intended to stimulate minds, or put them to sleep? A powerful visualisation can almost make change inevitable.
Elective waiting times lengthened beyond 18 weeks again in August, as the admission rate fell to a three year low. Annual leave is the likely cause of lower activity, not beds.
By the time the Vasa was launched in 1628, it was the biggest project ever undertaken by Sweden and the most expensive ship in the world. But what does it have to do with NHS waiting times?
Long-wait trajectories are easy to ask for, and surprisingly hard to calculate. But with a skilful model and a bit of luck, you could achieve precision planning for your trajectories. In this longer read we go deep into the detail.
Despite first impressions, this year's planning guidance is a welcome step away from the traditional financially-led approach, towards more realistic and operationally-useful planning.